The Blog

The big fall premieres are just around the corner, and you'll never have an easier path into Media Predict Real Money.

It's simple -- make good predictions. If you do, you might win one of 100 invites into the Real Money market. Invites will start going out right after premiere week, which starts Sept. 19.

If that's not motivation enough, you can win an AppleTV.

read more...

OK folks, this one is simple. You do us a favor, we give you media bucks.

You all know the corkboards out there. Nannies with references. Apartments. French lessons. Used boats. And that "Dan" guy who will teach you guitar.

For our first viral campaign, Media Predict is going to target the corkboards of the world.

read more...

Today Media Predict has launched a new site where regular people can get paid to place bets on what will go big -- or bust -- in media. There's a good reason why. As the famous quotation goes: nobody knows anything.

"Nobody knows anything," William Goldman originally wrote in Adventures in the Screen Trade. "Not one person in the entire motion picture field knows for a certainty what's going to work. Every time out it's a guess."

It's true to this day. Despite our modern technology -- despite the wonders of Apple, Google, and Facebook combined -- statistically speaking most new media content flops. It's true of movies, video games, books, music, everything.

Goldman's occasion for making his remark was actually "Raiders of the Lost Ark," which, he points out, every studio turned down. "Why did Paramount say yes?" writes Goldman. "Because nobody knows anything. And why did all the other studios say no? Because nobody knows anything . . . [N]obody, nobody -- not now, not ever -- knows the least goddamn thing about what is or isn't going to work at the box office."

Clearly Goldman had a point. After all, the history of media has been filled with spectacularly bad decisions, as future successes go neglected:

read more...