FEBRUARY is a month in which we talk about the Oscars, but we sure don’t get them in the movie theater – witness everything from the sentimental “The Vow” to camp movies like “Ghost Rider 2.” On actual Oscar weekend we’ll see about the same quality. Tyler Perry with “Good Deeds” seems a safe bet to win the weekend – he took on the Oscars in 2009 with “Madea Goes to Jail,” and that worked well with an eyebrow-raising $41M haul. One of the most consistent performers in Hollywood, Perry can seemingly whip out $25 and $20 million debuts in his sleep, and his biggest slipup was “For Colored Girls” that clocked in at $19 bills. So write that one down. “Act of Valor” was originally marketed as a “Hurt Locker” redux, but that must not have worked, as it is now depicted as a masculine adrenaline fix. Look for that one to potentially break double digits, and maybe even the teens. Beyond that? The woeful nudist comedy “Wanderlust” with Jennifer Aniston drew crickets when we saw it at the movie theater – and Amanda Seyfried’s “Gone” looks about as strong as the Netflix guilty pleasure “Chloe” (which could make a Lifetime melodrama blush). Those two should round out the pack with single-digits as moviegoers forget the theaters and tune in for some Oscar night fun. 1/30/2012