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Globes: Will "Frost / Nixon" Win Best Drama?
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THE MARKET: Will “Frost/Nixon” win the Golden Globe Award for best drama? Trading will close at 4 p.m. PT on Jan. 11. If “Frost/Nixon” wins the award, shares are worth $100. If it doesn’t, they’re worth $0.
THE DATA: Nominees include “The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button,” “Frost/Nixon,” “The Reader,” “Revolutionary Road,” “Slumdog Millionaire.”
THE PR: Although we’ll give a nod to “Slumdog,” this one should come down to “Curious Case” and “Frost/Nixon” – and we’re just going to throw our hat in with the latter. Sure, “Curious Case” has quality written all over it, but expectations are simply too high for the Christmas-day major release. Once the marketing buzz wears off, sentiment can only decline. Whereas “Frost/Nixon” is benefitting from the traditional phased release, enabling word-of-mouth to grow. And it will only gain momentum: the heavyweight climax, an interview between David Frost and a pardoned Nixon, is some of the best stuff we’ve seen this year.

LEARN MORE:
See the Golden Globes site.

TIP:
Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.

PREDICTIONS CURRENT VALUE TODAY


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