NOTE: Mega Markets are designed to generate long-range forecasts and close approximately one month before the currently scheduled opening weekend. All participants still in the market at the close of trading will immediately receive $200 in fantasy money for their participation.THE MARKET: “The Spirit” goes into wide release on Thursday December 25, 2008. How much will it gross in its first four days as reported by Variety on December 29? Each dollar of the share price represents millions of dollars in sales. Shares bought at $45, for example, would be worth $78 if the movie grosses $78 million. Trading closes November 29 at 11:59 p.m. PT.
THE DATA: “The Spirit” is a big-screen adaptation of Will Eisner’s classic comic that first appeared in the 1940s. Comparable movies that come to mind include “V for Vendetta” ($25.6 million debut) and “Ghost Rider” ($45.4 million).
OUR TAKE: It’s only fitting that “The Spirit” would debut on Christmas, considering its tagline is “Down these mean streets a man must come. A hero born, murdered, and born again.” The vaunted Frank Miller wrote the screenplay and directs. Lionsgate is rumored to have already signed Miller for two sequels based on the strength of the screenplay. Expect a big publicity push and a big four-day opening weekend.
LEARN MORE:
See the trailer at the “The Spirit” home page.